Resilience Through Adaptation: What to Expect from the Electronics Industry in 2026

Predictions for 2026 from John W. Mitchell
Key Summary:

•    Electronics industry outlook for 2026: resilience through adaptation amid global uncertainty
•    Key trends shaping electronics manufacturing, supply chains, and workforce strategy
•    AI investment growth, realistic timelines, and competitive implications
•    Workforce skills shortages emerge as the top constraint on industry expansion
•    Strategic supply chain diversification replaces full decoupling
•    Raw materials and sustainability become critical policy and business priorities


What does the future hold for the global electronics industry? Few organizations are better positioned to answer that question than the Global Electronics Association. With a unique, global perspective spanning the electronics supply chain, we work at the intersection of industry, policy, technology, and workforce development by engaging with member companies, governments, and partners across major regions worldwide.

In this blog series, Global Electronics Association experts will share informed perspectives on the forces reshaping the electronics ecosystem, including geopolitical dynamics, regulatory change, supply chain resilience, sustainability, and technological innovation. Drawing on real-time industry engagement and long-term trend analysis, these insights are intended to help electronics leaders anticipate change, manage risk, and position their organizations for continued growth.

We begin with insights from Global Electronics Association President and CEO John W. Mitchell, who examines what resilience through adaptation will look like for the electronics industry in 2026, and what companies should be preparing for now.

Resilience through adaptation: What to expect from the electronics industry in 2026 

By John W. Mitchell, President and CEO, the Global Electronics Association

Despite volatility from tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and economic uncertainty, the electronics industry is expected to demonstrate remarkable adaptability in 2026. 

Companies have evolved from reactive crisis management to proactive strategic planning by developing sophisticated tariff response strategies, building robust supply chain visibility systems, and positioning to serve concentrated growth sectors in artificial intelligence, defense, and advanced computing, among others. 

Important growth sectors:

STRATEGIC DIVERSIFICATION

In 2026, we'll see nations accelerate efforts to reconfigure their electronics supply chain dependencies, but the reality is that true decoupling is impossible. Instead, expect strategic diversification, where countries build redundancy in critical areas while accepting that global interdependency in electronics manufacturing isn't a weakness to eliminate but a reality to manage more intelligently. 

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

The AI investment boom has likely saved us from recession, but companies will confront a sobering truth: the transformative returns everyone anticipated will take longer to materialize than the hype suggested. Patience, not panic, will separate the AI winners from the overextended. 

WORKFORCE 

The global electronics manufacturing expansion is expected to hit a hard ceiling in 2026, and it won't be due to factory space or equipment. Workforce skills will emerge as the scarcest, most critical resource in our industry. We can build facilities in months, but we cannot accelerate workforce expertise at the same pace. This skills shortage will become the defining constraint on localization and manufacturing ambitions worldwide. 


RAW MATERIALS

Countries will increasingly treat raw materials as matters of national security in 2026. Expect aggressive investments in domestic mining and processing of rare earth elements, even when economics don't favor it. The electronics industry will witness a fundamental shift from lowest-cost sourcing to closest-to-home sourcing, reshaping decades of supply chain optimization. 

 SUSTAINABILITY  

Investments are expected to accelerate in 2026 as the business case becomes undeniable; however, we’ll simultaneously see fragmentation in global standards, which will create new inefficiencies. The challenge won't be convincing decision-makers that sustainability matters; it will be navigating an increasingly complex patchwork of regional requirements that could slow the very progress we've made. 

Why This Matters for the Electronics Industry and the World

This matters because electronics are the foundation of global innovation, economic competitiveness, and resilience in every industry. Decisions made today around supply chains, materials, manufacturing, and infrastructure will determine which companies and regions lead in the decade ahead.

Looking Ahead

Success increasingly depends on strategic positioning relative to growth sectors, operational agility to handle continued trade uncertainty, and technological sophistication to serve evolving product requirements. 

I’d love to hear your thoughts about the future of our industry.  You can find me on LinkedIn at https://www.linkedin.com/in/johnwmitchell.